New YouGov projection shows a Progressive Alliance can win

A YouGov projection for The Times suggests that Theresa May could lose her majority and be forced to govern as a minority administration, bound to radical elements in her own party, as well as the potential for the anti-gay, anti-abortion Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) to hold a stake.

Ahead of tonight’s live TV debate, the Progressive Alliance is calling on Jeremy Corbyn, Caroline Lucas, Leanne Wood, Angus Robertson and Tim Farron to be open to working with other progressives in the event of a hung Parliament.

In the event that party leaders are required to negotiate a coalition, it is vital that a progressive majority is prepared to form a government.


Neal Lawson, spokesperson for Progressive Alliance, said:

“It's no good for Jeremy Corbyn to wait until 9th June to set-out the type of government he wants to lead.

“With Theresa May absent from the stage in this evening's televised debate, progressive leaders should seize the opportunity to provide the country with a credible, secure alternative to a minority Conservative government.  They should fight the Tories, not each other.

“No one is pretending that there aren’t disagreements or differences between progressive parties but the challenges facing us are far too great to be left to a minority Conservative government propped up with support from the DUP, a party which has consistently displayed homophobic, sexist and xenophobic tendencies, completely out of step with the rest of the country.”

Frances Foley, campaign manager for Progressive Alliance, added:

“Would Jeremy Corbyn rather be in government, sharing power with people like Angus Robertson, Caroline Lucas and Leanne Wood – people who he has much more in common with than many in his own party – or let the Tories back into power? The door is open to a new politics – all the parties have to do is walk through it.”

In the event of a hung parliament, the party with the greatest number of seats has the first chance to form a government, either by formal coalition or as a minority administration in a confidence and supply type arrangement which guarantees the leader of the largest party has the confidence of a majority of MPs sitting in the House of Commons.

Despite the technical threshold to form a majority of 326 seats, the actual requisite number of seats to form a working majority is 323.

Based on YouGov’s projection, for The Times, the combined number of Labour, SNP, Liberal Democrat, Plaid Cymru and Green seats would give the progressive alliance a working majority of 324 seats, one above the minimum threshold. The addition of Lady Sylvia Hermon, a consistent anti-Conservative voice, to this block would take the working majority to 325. The combined Conservative, DUP and UUP block would muster 320 seats, short of the required majority.

In the event that party leaders are required to negotiate a coalition, it is vital that a progressive majority is prepared to form a government.

Neal Lawson, spokesperson for Progressive Alliance, said:

“It's no good for Jeremy Corbyn to wait until 9th June to set-out the type of government he wants to lead.

“With Theresa May absent from the stage in this evening's televised debate, progressive leaders should seize the opportunity to provide the country with a credible, secure alternative to a minority Conservative government.  They should fight the Tories, not each other.

“No one is pretending that there aren’t disagreements or differences between progressive parties but the challenges facing us are far too great to be left to a minority Conservative government propped up with support from the DUP, a party which has consistently displayed homophobic, sexist and xenophobic tendencies, completely out of step with the rest of the country.”

Frances Foley, campaign manager for Progressive Alliance, added:

“Would Jeremy Corbyn rather be in government, sharing power with people like Angus Robertson, Caroline Lucas and Leanne Wood – people who he has much more in common with than many in his own party – or let the Tories back into power? The door is open to a new politics – all the parties have to do is walk through it.”

In the event of a hung parliament, the party with the greatest number of seats has the first chance to form a government, either by formal coalition or as a minority administration in a confidence and supply type arrangement which guarantees the leader of the largest party has the confidence of a majority of MPs sitting in the House of Commons.

Despite the technical threshold to form a majority of 326 seats, the actual requisite number of seats to form a working majority is 323.

Based on YouGov’s projection, for The Times, the combined number of Labour, SNP, Liberal Democrat, Plaid Cymru and Green seats would give the progressive alliance a working majority of 324 seats, one above the minimum threshold. The addition of Lady Sylvia Hermon, a consistent anti-Conservative voice, to this block would take the working majority to 325. The combined Conservative, DUP and UUP block would muster 320 seats, short of the required majority.

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